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Possible impacts of a changing climate on intense Ligurian Sea rainfall events
Author(s) -
Gallus William A.,
Parodi Antonio,
Maugeri Maurizio
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
international journal of climatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.58
H-Index - 166
eISSN - 1097-0088
pISSN - 0899-8418
DOI - 10.1002/joc.5372
Subject(s) - climatology , environmental science , precipitation , flooding (psychology) , climate change , climate model , mesoscale meteorology , global warming , meteorology , geography , geology , oceanography , psychology , psychotherapist
Intense rainfall events occasionally occur in northwestern Italy near the Ligurian Sea, especially in autumn when persistent convergence zones trigger thunderstorm systems. Output from EXPRESS‐Hydro simulations of past and future climate suggest that although the number of strong convergence events stays constant in a warming climate, the area of heavy rainfall in the events and duration (shown here as average number of grid points receiving more than 25 mm of rain in a 3‐h period per month) both increase significantly. These increases could exacerbate flooding problems.