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Connecting ENSO‐related climatic variations with a long‐term crop supply data to enhance agro‐meteorological capability of Tongan stakeholders
Author(s) -
Lee EunJeong,
Kim Moosup,
Kim KwangHyung
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
international journal of climatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.58
H-Index - 166
eISSN - 1097-0088
pISSN - 0899-8418
DOI - 10.1002/joc.5348
Subject(s) - environmental science , proxy (statistics) , swamp , agriculture , climatology , el niño southern oscillation , multivariate enso index , climate change , precipitation , geography , meteorology , southern oscillation , mathematics , statistics , ecology , archaeology , geology , biology
The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability affects crop production via its influence on rainfall variability in Tonga. Market supply data for selected crops were analysed to find any significant variations linked to ENSO impacts. As a result of our analysis, practically applicable information on tercile‐category probability estimation of the crop supply based on seasonal ENSO forecasts was suggested as shown in the figure below.