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Sensitivity of stratospheric dynamics to uncertainty in O 3 production
Author(s) -
Hsu Juno,
Prather Michael J.,
Bergmann Dan,
CameronSmith Philip
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
journal of geophysical research: atmospheres
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2169-8996
pISSN - 2169-897X
DOI - 10.1002/jgrd.50689
Subject(s) - stratosphere , tropopause , atmospheric sciences , quasi biennial oscillation , equator , polar vortex , environmental science , ozone , climatology , stratification (seeds) , latitude , annual cycle , troposphere , middle latitudes , ozone depletion , ozone layer , climate change , meteorology , geology , physics , seed dormancy , oceanography , germination , botany , dormancy , biology , geodesy
Some key photochemical uncertainties that cannot be readily eliminated by current observations translate into a range of stratospheric O 3 abundances in the tens of percent. The uncertainty in O 3 production due to that in the cross sections for O 2 in the Hertzberg continuum is studied here with the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model, which allows for interactive climate and ozone chemistry. A min‐max range in the O 2 cross sections of 30%, consistent with current uncertainties, changes O 3 abundances in the lower tropical stratosphere by up to 30%, with a relatively smaller and opposite change above 30 hPa. Here we have systematically examined the changes in the time‐mean state, the seasonal cycle, and the interannual variability of the temperature and circulation associated with the ±30% change in O 2 cross sections. This study points to the important role of O 3 in the lower tropical stratosphere in determining the physical characteristics of the tropical tropopause layer. Reducing O 2 cross sections by 30% increases ozone abundances which warms the lower stratosphere (60°S −60°N; 2 K maximum at equator) and lowers the tropopause height by 100–200 m (30°S –30°N). The large‐scale warming leads to enhanced stratification near the tropopause which reduces upward wave propagation everywhere except for high latitudes. The lowermost tropical stratosphere is better ventilated during austral winter. The annual cycle of ozone is amplified. The interannual variability of the winter stratospheric polar vortices also increases, but the mechanism involves wave‐mean flow interaction, and the exact role of ozone in it needs further investigation.