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6.4.1 All for the Want of a Horseshoe Nail: An Examination of Causality in DoDAF/MODAF
Author(s) -
Hause Matthew,
Kihlström LarsOlof
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
incose international symposium
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2334-5837
DOI - 10.1002/j.2334-5837.2014.tb03166.x
Subject(s) - battle , causality (physics) , computer science , horseshoe (symbol) , set (abstract data type) , field (mathematics) , sequence (biology) , operations research , knowledge management , engineering , history , archaeology , mathematics , physics , genetics , quantum mechanics , biology , pure mathematics , programming language
The title of the paper refers to the proverb of the death of Richard III of England at the Battle of Bosworth Field. “For want of a battle the kingdom was lost, … and all for the want of a horseshoe nail.” The pattern described is called a chain of causality or causal sequence. DoDAF 2.0 contains many concepts that can document these sequences as well as the dynamic elements, feedback loops and influences. This paper will examine a telecommunications scenario and show how DoDAF is used to document and analyze the sequence. System Dynamics, Business Motivational Modeling (BMM), and simulation are also examined. System dynamics is an approach to understanding the behavior of complex systems over time. The Business Motivation Model (BMM) published by the OMG looks at ends, means, goals, and assessments. This will provide decision makers a more effective set of tools to evaluate operational scenarios as a means of improving outcomes. The method for how to attack a problem where causality needs to be revealed is also discussed.