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Method for Estimation of Future Distribution System Demand
Author(s) -
Strand John A.
Publication year - 1966
Publication title -
journal ‐ american water works association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.466
H-Index - 74
eISSN - 1551-8833
pISSN - 0003-150X
DOI - 10.1002/j.1551-8833.1966.tb01610.x
Subject(s) - estimation , premise , distribution (mathematics) , water consumption , computer science , operations research , environmental science , engineering , mathematics , environmental engineering , systems engineering , mathematical analysis , philosophy , linguistics
This article outlines a method for estimating future maximum daily, hourly, and fire demands of an existing city, and a second method for determining the capacities needed to meet those demands. The method of estimating future demands is based on the premise that except for large industrial demands, the future demands on a maximum day and the distribution of the demands on that day can be most accurately determined by extending past‐experience data. Past experience reflects changes in water consumption habits and changes in use of water‐consuming devices, with any trends in these respects likely to continue for a reasonable period in the future. This article is not concerned with estimating ultimate or saturation demands of the entire distribution system, or any single part of the system.