Premium
The term structure of credit spreads in project finance
Author(s) -
Sorge Marco,
Gadanecz Blaise
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
international journal of finance and economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.505
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1099-1158
pISSN - 1076-9307
DOI - 10.1002/ijfe.350
Subject(s) - ceteris paribus , leverage (statistics) , capital structure , economics , project finance , basel ii , yield curve , term (time) , debt , maturity (psychological) , structured finance , credit risk , finance , financial economics , capital requirement , financial system , macroeconomics , interest rate , financial crisis , microeconomics , incentive , psychology , developmental psychology , physics , quantum mechanics , machine learning , computer science
This paper finds that the term structure of credit spreads in project finance is hump‐shaped. This contrasts with other types of debt, where credit risk is shown instead to increase monotonically with maturity ceteris paribus . We emphasize a number of peculiar features of project finance structures that might underlie this finding, such as high leverage decreasing over time, long‐term political risk guarantees and the sequential resolution of uncertainty along project advancement stages. Our result is particularly relevant given the importance of project finance as a source of long‐term capital for infrastructure especially in developing countries and has implications for risk management in the framework of Basel II. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.