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The growth rate series in Kenya: Evidence of non‐linearities and factors behind the slow growth
Author(s) -
GilAlana Luis A.,
Mudida Robert
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
international journal of finance and economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.505
H-Index - 39
eISSN - 1099-1158
pISSN - 1076-9307
DOI - 10.1002/ijfe.1606
Subject(s) - kenya , economics , independence (probability theory) , vulnerability (computing) , growth rate , monetary economics , development economics , macroeconomics , political science , mathematics , statistics , geometry , computer security , computer science , law
This paper deals with the growth rate in Kenya, examining its statistical properties and investigating the factors that may explain the slow growth rates observed during the last 50 years. The results show that Kenyan growth rate is unstable with non‐linearities and long range dependence structures. We also investigate what might explain these features. In this regard, we conclude that the development of anomalous political institutions in Kenya in the decades after independence is the root cause that has led to subsequent weak economic institutions and macroeconomic mismanagement and the vulnerability of the Kenyan economy to domestic and external shocks.