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Nomograms for predicting prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in colorectal cancer patients after radical resection
Author(s) -
Li Yaqi,
Jia Huixun,
Yu Wencheng,
Xu Ye,
Li Xinxiang,
Li Qingguo,
Cai Sanjun
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
international journal of cancer
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.475
H-Index - 234
eISSN - 1097-0215
pISSN - 0020-7136
DOI - 10.1002/ijc.30071
Subject(s) - medicine , nomogram , colorectal cancer , gastroenterology , proportional hazards model , multivariate analysis , cancer , concordance , retrospective cohort study , neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio , oncology , lymphocyte
Increasing evidence indicates that inflammation plays a vital role in tumorigenesis and progression. However, the prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in colorectal cancer (CRC) has not been established. In this study, a retrospective analysis was conducted in patients with CRC in Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) between April 1, 2007 and April 30, 2014, and 5,336 patients were identified eligible. Neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte‐to‐monocyte ratio (LMR), and albumin/globulin ratio (AGR) were analyzed. Kaplan‐Meier analysis was used to calculate the 5‐year overall survival (OS) and disease‐free survival (DFS). Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the prognostic factors. Nomograms were established to predict OS and DFS, and Harrell's concordance index (c‐index) was adopted to evaluate prediction accuracy. As results, the 5‐year OS was 79.2% and the 5‐year DFS was 56.0% in the cohort. Patients were stratified into 2 groups by NLR (≤2.72 and >2.72), PLR (≤219.00 and >219.00), LMR (≤2.83 and >2.83) and AGR (<1.50 and ≥1.50). Patients with NLR > 2.72, PLR > 219.00, LMR ≤ 2.83 and AGR < 1.50 were significantly associated with decreased OS and DFS ( p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that NLR, LMR and AGR were independent factors of OS ( p = 0.047, p = 0.008 and p < 0.001, respectively) and DFS ( p = 0.009, p < 0.001 and p = 0.008, respectively). In addition, nomograms on OS and DFS were established according to all significant factors, and c‐indexes were 0.765 (95% CI: 0.744–0.785) and 0.735 (95% CI: 0.721–0.749), respectively. Nomograms based on OS and DFS can be recommended as practical models to evaluate prognosis for CRC patients.