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The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma decreases after the first 5 years of entecavir or tenofovir in Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B
Author(s) -
Papatheodoridis George V.,
Idilman Ramazan,
Dalekos George N.,
Buti Maria,
Chi Heng,
van Boemmel Florian,
Calleja Jose Luis,
Sypsa Vana,
Goulis John,
Manolakopoulos Spilios,
Loglio Alessandro,
Siakavellas Spyros,
Keskın Onur,
Gatselis Nikolaos,
Hansen Bettina E.,
Lehretz Maria,
de la Revilla Juan,
Savvidou Savvoula,
Kourikou Anastasia,
Vlachogiannakos Ioannis,
Galanis Kostantinos,
Yurdaydin Cihan,
Berg Thomas,
Colombo Massimo,
Esteban Rafael,
Janssen Harry L.A.,
Lampertico Pietro
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
hepatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.488
H-Index - 361
eISSN - 1527-3350
pISSN - 0270-9139
DOI - 10.1002/hep.29320
Subject(s) - entecavir , hepatocellular carcinoma , medicine , cirrhosis , gastroenterology , incidence (geometry) , chronic hepatitis , hepatitis b , cohort , tenofovir , hepatology , immunology , lamivudine , virus , human immunodeficiency virus (hiv) , physics , optics
Whether there is a change of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence in chronic hepatitis B patients under long‐term therapy with potent nucleos(t)ide analogues is currently unclear. We therefore assessed the HCC incidence beyond year 5 of entecavir/tenofovir (ETV/TDF) therapy and tried to determine possible factors associated with late HCC occurrence. This European, 10‐center, cohort study included 1,951 adult Caucasian chronic hepatitis B patients without HCC at baseline who received ETV/TDF for ≥1 year. Of them, 1,205 (62%) patients without HCC within the first 5 years of therapy have been followed for 5‐10 (median, 6.8) years. HCCs have been diagnosed in 101/1,951 (5.2%) patients within the first 5 years and 17/1,205 (1.4%) patients within 5‐10 years. The yearly HCC incidence rate was 1.22% within and 0.73% after the first 5 years ( P = 0.050). The yearly HCC incidence rate did not differ within and after the first 5 years in patients without cirrhosis (0.49% versus 0.47%, P = 0.931), but it significantly declined in patients with cirrhosis (3.22% versus 1.57%, P = 0.039). All HCCs beyond year 5 developed in patients older than 50 years at ETV/TDF onset. Older age, lower platelets at baseline and year 5, and liver stiffness ≥12 kPa at year 5 were independently associated with more frequent HCC development beyond year 5 in multivariable analysis. No patient with low Platelets, Age, Gender‐Hepatitis B score at baseline or year 5 developed HCC. Conclusion : The HCC risk decreases beyond year 5 of ETV/TDF therapy in Caucasian chronic hepatitis B patients, particularly in those with compensated cirrhosis; older age (especially ≥50 years), lower platelets, and liver stiffness ≥12 kPa at year 5 represent the main risk factors for late HCC development. (H epatology 2017;66:1444–1453).