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Reassessing selection criteria prior to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma utilizing the scientific registry of transplant recipients database
Author(s) -
Toso Christian,
Asthana Sonal,
Bigam David L.,
Shapiro A. M. James,
Kneteman Norman M.
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
hepatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 5.488
H-Index - 361
eISSN - 1527-3350
pISSN - 0270-9139
DOI - 10.1002/hep.22693
Subject(s) - aged , databases as topic , female , humans , *liver transplantation , male , middle aged , multivariate analysis , *patient selection , predictive value of tests , *registries , retrospective studies , tumor burden , united states , alpha fetoproteins/metabolism
The current model of liver graft allocation in place in the United States favors transplantation of patients with small hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) within the Milan criteria (a single tumor up to 5 cm in diameter or up to three lesions, none larger than 3 cm). Although several reports have suggested that these criteria could be extended, there is currently no agreement on new selection tools. In this study, we performed an overview of 6478 adult recipients of an isolated first liver transplant registered in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) database. From March 2002 to January 2008, increasing numbers of patients outside Milan criteria ( P ≤ 0.001) have been registered for a transplant, but they still represent less than 5% of the transplants performed for HCC. Of all the tested variables (tumor number, largest tumor size, and Milan and University of California San Francisco criteria), only total tumor volume (TTV; P ≤ 0.05) and alpha fetoprotein (AFP; P ≤ 0.001) could predict patient survival. While these two parameters demonstrated independent behaviors (no patient demonstrated an increase in both values), a composite score was defined, with patients with a TTV > 115 cm 3 or an AFP > 400 ng/mL being outside criteria. The combined TTV/AFP score efficiently predicted posttransplant survival (hazard ratio = 2, 95% confidence interval = 1.7‐2.4, P ≤ 0.001); patients not meeting these criteria had a survival below 50% at 3 years. Conclusion: According to the present SRTR data, Milan criteria are too restrictive, and patients with larger TTV can enjoy satisfactory posttransplant survivals. A composite patient selection score combining TTV and AFP was the most effective of all tested staging criteria for the prediction of posttransplant patient survival for candidates with HCC. (H EPATOLOGY 2009.)