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Impact of the smoking ban on the volume of bar sales in Ireland – evidence from time series analysis
Author(s) -
Cornelsen Laura,
Normand Charles
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
health economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.55
H-Index - 109
eISSN - 1099-1050
pISSN - 1057-9230
DOI - 10.1002/hec.1728
Subject(s) - bar (unit) , volume (thermodynamics) , series (stratigraphy) , economics , time series , medicine , econometrics , statistics , mathematics , geography , thermodynamics , physics , meteorology , paleontology , biology
SUMMARY This paper is the first to estimate the economic impact of a comprehensive smoking ban in all enclosed public places of work, on bars in Ireland. The demand in bars, represented by a monthly index of sales volume, is explained by relative prices in bars, prices of alcohol sold in off‐licences and the aggregate retail sales (ARS) as a proxy for general economic activity and incomes. The smoking ban is included into the model as a step dummy and the modelling is done using ARIMAX strategy. The results show a reduction in the volume of sales in bars by −4.6% ( p <0.01) following the ban. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.