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Impact of soil moisture‐climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE‐CMIP5 experiment
Author(s) -
Seneviratne Sonia I.,
Wilhelm Micah,
Stanelle Tanja,
Hurk Bart,
Hagemann Stefan,
Berg Alexis,
Cheruy Frederique,
Higgins Matthew E.,
Meier Arndt,
Brovkin Victor,
Claussen Martin,
Ducharne Agnès,
Dufresne JeanLouis,
Findell Kirsten L.,
Ghattas Joséfine,
Lawrence David M.,
Malyshev Sergey,
Rummukainen Markku,
Smith Benjamin
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1002/grl.50956
Subject(s) - environmental science , coupled model intercomparison project , precipitation , dryness , climatology , climate model , atmospheric sciences , climate change , boreal , water content , moisture , mediterranean climate , geology , meteorology , ecology , physics , medicine , paleontology , oceanography , surgery , geotechnical engineering , biology
The Global Land‐Atmosphere Climate Experiment–Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (GLACE‐CMIP5) is a multimodel experiment investigating the impact of soil moisture‐climate feedbacks in CMIP5 projections. We present here first GLACE‐CMIP5 results based on five Earth System Models, focusing on impacts of projected changes in regional soil moisture dryness (mostly increases) on late 21st century climate. Projected soil moisture changes substantially impact climate in several regions in both boreal and austral summer. Strong and consistent effects are found on temperature, especially for extremes (about 1–1.5 K for mean temperature and 2–2.5 K for extreme daytime temperature). In the Northern Hemisphere, effects on mean and heavy precipitation are also found in most models, but the results are less consistent than for temperature. A direct scaling between soil moisture‐induced changes in evaporative cooling and resulting changes in temperature mean and extremes is found in the simulations. In the Mediterranean region, the projected soil moisture changes affect about 25% of the projected changes in extreme temperature.