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When stock futures dominate price discovery
Author(s) -
Aggarwal Nidhi,
Thomas Susan
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of futures markets
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.88
H-Index - 55
eISSN - 1096-9934
pISSN - 0270-7314
DOI - 10.1002/fut.21973
Subject(s) - price discovery , futures contract , leverage (statistics) , market liquidity , financial economics , economics , stock (firearms) , futures market , econometrics , monetary economics , computer science , mechanical engineering , machine learning , engineering
This paper revisits the role of leverage in price discovery, using one of the most liquid single‐stock futures (SSFs) markets in the world. Price discovery is analysed as a dynamic intraday process. We find that the information share of the SSFs is 55% during news arrivals. It increases to 61%, when the news is negative and the futures is preferred because of short‐sales restrictions on the spot. A partial equilibrium analysis predicts that the trade‐off between leverage and market liquidity determines price discovery across securities. These predictions are validated by empirical evidence.