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Price Dynamics in Global Crude Oil Markets
Author(s) -
Liu WaiMan,
Schultz Emma,
Swieringa John
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
journal of futures markets
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.88
H-Index - 55
eISSN - 1096-9934
pISSN - 0270-7314
DOI - 10.1002/fut.21658
Subject(s) - brent crude , cointegration , futures contract , west texas intermediate , economics , oil price , crude oil , financial economics , price discovery , futures market , financial market , econometrics , monetary economics , finance , geology , petroleum engineering
We use high‐frequency data to better characterize price dynamics in global crude oil markets. Initially, we provide much‐needed quantitative evidence on interactions between physical and financial layers of the Brent market, highlighting the ICE Brent futures contract as the overwhelming source of price discovery in this market. Thereafter, we quantify the impact of oil supply constraints at Cushing, showing they are a significant determinant of ever decreasing levels of cointegration between Brent and WTI markets. Finally, against this backdrop we show that, on days where ICE Brent and CME WTI futures remain cointegrated, the latter still dominate price discovery. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 35:148–162, 2015