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On the consistency of the historic temperature record with greenhouse warming
Author(s) -
Solow Andrew R.,
Patwardhan Anand
Publication year - 1992
Publication title -
environmetrics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.68
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1099-095X
pISSN - 1180-4009
DOI - 10.1002/env.3170030401
Subject(s) - consistency (knowledge bases) , climate change , temperature record , environmental science , sensitivity (control systems) , parametric statistics , greenhouse , nonparametric statistics , climatology , greenhouse gas , global warming , parametric model , climate model , greenhouse effect , statistics , econometrics , mathematics , geology , engineering , geometry , electronic engineering , horticulture , biology , oceanography
The purpose of this paper is to assess the consistency of the historic record of mean global temperature with a climate model of historic greenhouse warming. Because there is no natural parametric alternative to the climate model, goodness‐of‐fit is assessed via nonparametric regression. While the historic record is not consistent with the model with high temperature sensitivity, it is not inconsistent with the model using the best‐fitting temperature sensitivity.