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Climate change, trends in extremes, and model assessment for a long temperature time series from Sweden
Author(s) -
Guttorp Peter,
Xu Jia
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
environmetrics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.68
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1099-095X
pISSN - 1180-4009
DOI - 10.1002/env.1099
Subject(s) - climate change , climatology , series (stratigraphy) , environmental science , extreme value theory , climate model , econometrics , climate extremes , meteorology , geography , statistics , mathematics , geology , paleontology , oceanography
Many problems in current climate research deal with extreme events. Since by definition there are few observations of really extreme events, it is a statistical challenge to assess whether observed trends are significant. In this paper we illustrate one method to look for climate signals in extreme temperature data, and how to compare the data to a climate simulation based on a regional climate model. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.