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Tackling unresolved questions in forest ecology: The past and future role of simulation models
Author(s) -
Maréchaux Isabelle,
Langerwisch Fanny,
Huth Andreas,
Bugmann Harald,
Morin Xavier,
Reyer Christopher P.O.,
Seidl Rupert,
Collalti Alessio,
Dantas de Paula Mateus,
Fischer Rico,
Gutsch Martin,
Lexer Manfred J.,
Lischke Heike,
Rammig Anja,
Rödig Edna,
Sakschewski Boris,
Taubert Franziska,
Thonicke Kirsten,
Vacchiano Giorgio,
Bohn Friedrich J.
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
ecology and evolution
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.17
H-Index - 63
ISSN - 2045-7758
DOI - 10.1002/ece3.7391
Subject(s) - forest dynamics , complementarity (molecular biology) , ecology , leverage (statistics) , forest ecology , context (archaeology) , temporal scales , computer science , environmental resource management , data science , geography , ecosystem , environmental science , biology , artificial intelligence , genetics , archaeology
Understanding the processes that shape forest functioning, structure, and diversity remains challenging, although data on forest systems are being collected at a rapid pace and across scales. Forest models have a long history in bridging data with ecological knowledge and can simulate forest dynamics over spatio‐temporal scales unreachable by most empirical investigations. We describe the development that different forest modelling communities have followed to underpin the leverage that simulation models offer for advancing our understanding of forest ecosystems. Using three widely applied but contrasting approaches – species distribution models, individual‐based forest models, and dynamic global vegetation models – as examples, we show how scientific and technical advances have led models to transgress their initial objectives and limitations. We provide an overview of recent model applications on current important ecological topics and pinpoint ten key questions that could, and should, be tackled with forest models in the next decade. Synthesis. This overview shows that forest models, due to their complementarity and mutual enrichment, represent an invaluable toolkit to address a wide range of fundamental and applied ecological questions, hence fostering a deeper understanding of forest dynamics in the context of global change.

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