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First‐order bias correction for fractionally integrated time series
Author(s) -
Lee Jaechoul,
Ko Kyungduk
Publication year - 2009
Publication title -
canadian journal of statistics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.804
H-Index - 51
eISSN - 1708-945X
pISSN - 0319-5724
DOI - 10.1002/cjs.10022
Subject(s) - estimator , autocorrelation , series (stratigraphy) , moment (physics) , statistics , mathematics , lag , econometrics , variance (accounting) , inflation (cosmology) , long memory , computer science , physics , economics , volatility (finance) , paleontology , computer network , accounting , classical mechanics , theoretical physics , biology
Abstract Most of the long memory estimators for stationary fractionally integrated time series models are known to experience non‐negligible bias in small and finite samples. Simple moment estimators are also vulnerable to such bias, but can easily be corrected. In this article, the authors propose bias reduction methods for a lag‐one sample autocorrelation‐based moment estimator. In order to reduce the bias of the moment estimator, the authors explicitly obtain the exact bias of lag‐one sample autocorrelation up to the order n −1 . An example where the exact first‐order bias can be noticeably more accurate than its asymptotic counterpart, even for large samples, is presented. The authors show via a simulation study that the proposed methods are promising and effective in reducing the bias of the moment estimator with minimal variance inflation. The proposed methods are applied to the northern hemisphere data. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 37: 476–493; 2009 © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada