Quantitative Risikoanalysen in der chemischen Industrie
Author(s) -
Joschek HansIngo,
Helmstädter Gerhard,
Dehler Jürgen,
Langensiepen HansWerner
Publication year - 1980
Publication title -
chemie ingenieur technik
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.365
H-Index - 36
eISSN - 1522-2640
pISSN - 0009-286X
DOI - 10.1002/cite.330520207
Subject(s) - risk analysis (engineering) , quality (philosophy) , computer science , quantitative analysis (chemistry) , qualitative analysis , operations research , biochemical engineering , management science , engineering , qualitative research , chemistry , business , social science , philosophy , epistemology , chromatography , sociology
Abstract Quantitative risk analysis in the chemical industry . Consideration of risks on a qualitative basis is a useful, generally applied tool in safety engineering. However, attempts to quantify risk create problems. Quantifying studies have been published concrning nuclear and chemical plant, storage tanks, and port and transport facilities. At present, attempts are also being made in Germany to demonstrate that quantitative risk analysis is also possible for chemical processes. Instead of relying on past empirical values, an ab initio determination of risk from model calculations is being tried. A theoretical basis is already available for such calculations. However, practical execution and simplification of the complicated methods leads to numerous problems which are discussed in this paper. With the aid of selected examples attention is focussed on the following problems: (1) consideration of maintenance; (2) quality of starting data; (3) predictive power of weak‐point analysis.