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The Use of Time‐Varying Markov Model to Study the Effect of Weather on Asthma
Author(s) -
Jain R. K.
Publication year - 1988
Publication title -
biometrical journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.108
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1521-4036
pISSN - 0323-3847
DOI - 10.1002/bimj.4710300117
Subject(s) - markov chain , limiting , markov model , asthma , stochastic matrix , statistics , mathematics , markov process , computer science , econometrics , medicine , engineering , mechanical engineering
A time‐varying Markov model with periodically changing transition probability matrix is proposed to predict the behaviour of those diseases which are periodic with respect to year. In the present paper, computing techniques are used for asthma patients to estimate the limiting state probabilities at the end of each scycle (i.e. seasons), and it has been shown that results agree with the real life situations.