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Semiparametric estimation in copula models for bivariate sequential survival times
Author(s) -
Lawless Jerald F.,
Yilmaz Yildiz E.
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
biometrical journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.108
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1521-4036
pISSN - 0323-3847
DOI - 10.1002/bimj.201000131
Subject(s) - copula (linguistics) , identifiability , nonparametric statistics , bivariate analysis , econometrics , parametric statistics , censoring (clinical trials) , marginal distribution , joint probability distribution , semiparametric regression , statistics , mathematics , survival analysis , parametric model , accelerated failure time model , semiparametric model , random variable
Sequentially observed survival times are of interest in many studies but there are difficulties in analyzing such data using nonparametric or semiparametric methods. First, when the duration of followup is limited and the times for a given individual are not independent, induced dependent censoring arises for the second and subsequent survival times. Non‐identifiability of the marginal survival distributions for second and later times is another issue, since they are observable only if preceding survival times for an individual are uncensored. In addition, in some studies a significant proportion of individuals may never have the first event. Fully parametric models can deal with these features, but robustness is a concern. We introduce a new approach to address these issues. We model the joint distribution of the successive survival times by using copula functions, and provide semiparametric estimation procedures in which copula parameters are estimated without parametric assumptions on the marginal distributions. This provides more robust estimates and checks on the fit of parametric models. The methodology is applied to a motivating example involving relapse and survival following colon cancer treatment.