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A Posterior Tale
Author(s) -
Korn Edward L.,
Freidlin Boris
Publication year - 2007
Publication title -
biometrical journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.108
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1521-4036
pISSN - 0323-3847
DOI - 10.1002/bimj.200510264
Subject(s) - inference , posterior probability , vignette , resolution (logic) , econometrics , mathematics , computer science , statistics , bayesian probability , artificial intelligence
A vignette is presented that naively suggests that the posterior distribution of a parameter may not always contain everything that is needed for inference about that parameter. The resolution of this apparent paradox is discussed as well as its relation to real‐life problems involving data monitoring of clinical trials. (© 2007 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)