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Tests for an Epidemic Change in a Sequence of Exponentially Distributed Random Variables
Author(s) -
Ramanayake Asoka,
Gupta Arjun K.
Publication year - 2003
Publication title -
biometrical journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.108
H-Index - 63
eISSN - 1521-4036
pISSN - 0323-3847
DOI - 10.1002/bimj.200390062
Subject(s) - statistics , mathematics , likelihood ratio test , statistic , sequence (biology) , exponential distribution , test statistic , statistical hypothesis testing , random variable , econometrics , biology , genetics
Consider a sequence of independent exponential random variables that is susceptible to a change in the means. We would like to test whether the means have been subjected to an epidemic change after an unknown point, for an unknown duration in the sequence. The likelihood ratio statistic and a likelihood ratio type statistic are derived. The distribution theories and related properties of the test statistics are discussed. Percentage points and powers of the tests are tabulated for selected values of the parameters. The powers of these two tests are then compared to the two statistics proposed by Aly and Bouzar. The tests are applied to find epidemic changes in the set of Stanford heart transplant data and air traffic arrival data.