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Bayesian Analysis of Abandonment in Call Center Operations
Author(s) -
Aktekin Tevfik,
Soyer Refik
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
applied stochastic models in business and industry
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.413
H-Index - 40
eISSN - 1526-4025
pISSN - 1524-1904
DOI - 10.1002/asmb.1949
Subject(s) - markov chain monte carlo , computer science , inference , abandonment (legal) , bayesian probability , bayesian inference , staffing , econometrics , data mining , artificial intelligence , mathematics , economics , management , political science , law
In this paper, we consider the modeling and the inference of abandonment behavior in call centers. We present several time to event modeling strategies, develop Bayesian inference for posterior and predictive analyses, and discuss implications on call center staffing. Different family of distributions, piecewise time to abandonment models, and mixture models are introduced, and their posterior analysis with censored abandonment data is carried out using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We illustrate the implementation of the proposed models using real call center data, present additional insights that can be obtained from the Bayesian analysis, and discuss implications for different customer profiles. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.