Open AccessThe impact of volcanic eruptions in the period 2000–2013 on global mean temperature trends evaluated in the HadGEM2‐ES climate model
Author(s) -
Haywood Jim M.,
Jones Andy,
Jones Gareth S.
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
atmospheric science letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.951
H-Index - 45
ISSN - 1530-261X
DOI - 10.1002/asl2.471
Subject(s) - volcano , climatology , global warming , environmental science , atmospheric sciences , global cooling , period (music) , climate change , vulcanian eruption , climate model , geology , physics , oceanography , seismology , acoustics
Abstract The slow‐down in global warming over the last decade has lead to significant debate about whether the causes are of natural or anthropogenic origin. Using an ensemble of HadGEM2‐ES coupled climate model simulations we investigate the impact of overlooked modest volcanic eruptions. We deduce a global mean cooling of around −0.02 to −0.03 K over the period 2008–2012. Thus while these eruptions do cause a cooling of the Earth and may therefore contribute to the slow‐down in global warming, they do not appear to be the sole or primary cause .