Open AccessMultidecadal convection permitting climate simulations over Belgium: sensitivity of future precipitation extremes
Author(s) -
Saeed Sajjad,
Brisson Erwan,
Demuzere Matthias,
Tabari Hossein,
Willems Patrick,
van Lipzig Nicole P. M.
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
atmospheric science letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.951
H-Index - 45
ISSN - 1530-261X
DOI - 10.1002/asl.720
Subject(s) - precipitation , climatology , environmental science , forcing (mathematics) , percentile , climate model , climate change , atmospheric sciences , meteorology , geography , geology , mathematics , oceanography , statistics
Abstract We performed five high resolution (2.8 km) decadal convection permitting scale (CPS) climate simulations over Belgium using the COSMO‐CLM regional climate model and examined the future changes in daily precipitation extremes compared to coarser resolution simulations. The CPS model underestimates the higher percentiles during both seasons, however, some improvements in the higher percentile values are noticed during the summer season. Analysis of three future climate simulations indicates that the CPS model modifies the future signals of daily precipitation extremes compared to their forcing non‐CPS simulations during summer. During this season, the increase (decrease) in the daily precipitation extremes is stronger in the CPS compared to the non‐CPS simulations. During winter, no significant changes between CPS and non‐CPS were found.