Open AccessMAP D‐PHASE: real‐time demonstration of hydrological ensemble prediction systems
Author(s) -
Zappa Massimiliano,
Rotach Mathias W.,
Arpagaus Marco,
Dorninger Manfred,
Hegg Christoph,
Montani Andrea,
Ranzi Roberto,
Ament Felix,
Germann Urs,
Grossi Giovanna,
Jaun Simon,
Rossa Andrea,
Vogt Stephan,
Walser André,
Wehrhan Johannes,
Wunram Claudia
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
atmospheric science letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.951
H-Index - 45
ISSN - 1530-261X
DOI - 10.1002/asl.183
Subject(s) - nowcasting , mesoscale meteorology , probabilistic logic , meteorology , ensemble forecasting , environmental science , flood myth , focus (optics) , hydrological modelling , climatology , computer science , geology , geography , artificial intelligence , physics , archaeology , optics
Mesoscale Alpine Programme Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation of Flood Events (MAP D‐PHASE) is a forecast demonstration project aiming at demonstrating recent improvements in the operational use of end‐to‐end forecasting system consisting of atmospheric models, hydrological prediction systems, nowcasting tools and warnings for end‐users. Both deterministic and ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) have been implemented for the European Alps (atmospheric models) and a selection of mesoscale river basins (hydrological models) in Central Europe. A first insight into MAP D‐PHASE with focus on operational ensemble hydrological simulations is presented here. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society