Open AccessAnthropogenic influence on the intensity of extreme precipitation in the Asian‐Australian monsoon region in HadGEM3‐A‐N216
Author(s) -
Liu Jieyu,
Qiao Shaobo,
Li Chao,
Tang Shankai,
Chen Dong,
Feng Guolin
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
atmospheric science letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.951
H-Index - 45
ISSN - 1530-261X
DOI - 10.1002/asl.1036
Subject(s) - precipitation , bengal , climatology , bay , monsoon , east asia , environmental science , forcing (mathematics) , east asian monsoon , population , atmospheric sciences , geography , china , oceanography , geology , meteorology , demography , archaeology , sociology
The Asian‐Australian monsoon (AAM) region is characterized as abundant summer monsoon rainfall, which provides fresh water resources for high‐density population there. The research uses HadGEM3‐A‐N216 model simulations to compare the change of extreme rainfall intensity in the AAM region with and without anthropogenic influences. Although the anthropogenic forcing exerts a weak impact on the climatological mean distribution of the extreme precipitation, it significantly increases the extreme precipitation intensity at each degree in most parts of the AAM region, especially for the northern East Asia, the Bay of Bengal, and Australia. As the extreme degree increases from the 50–98%, the extreme precipitation intensity in the northern East Asia, the Bay of Bengal, and the Australia increase more and more rapidly, while that in the southern East Asia changes from a decreasing trend to an increasing trend. Overall, the stronger extreme precipitation is accompanied by a stronger growth trend under the anthropogenic forcing.