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Predicted costs of iron‐chelators in myelodysplastic syndromes: A 10‐year analysis based on actual prevalence and red cell transfusion rates
Author(s) -
Durairaj Senthilkumar,
Chew Stephen,
Hyslop Ann,
Keenan Norene,
Groves Michael J.,
Tauro Sudhir
Publication year - 2011
Publication title -
american journal of hematology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.456
H-Index - 105
eISSN - 1096-8652
pISSN - 0361-8609
DOI - 10.1002/ajh.22001
Subject(s) - medicine , myelodysplastic syndromes , logistic regression , cohort , international prognostic scoring system , blood transfusion , pediatrics , surgery , bone marrow
Abstract Consideration of iron‐chelation (IC) in transfusion‐dependent patients is recommended in most clinical‐practice guidelines on myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). The financial impact of IC on health‐care systems is predicted through economic modeling, but an analysis based on actual prevalence is lacking. Here, we have investigated the potential drug‐costs and need for IC in a cohort of 189 United Kingdom‐based MDS patients diagnosed from 2000 to 2010. Patients with low or intermediate‐1 IPSS scores were identified as eligible for IC if ≥24 red cell units (RCU) had been transfused over 12 consecutive months or the transfusion‐intensity averaged ≥2 RCU per month. Drug‐costs were calculated from the time patients qualified for IC until death or last follow‐up. In 159 patients with low/intermediate‐1 MDS, survival was superior with a low IPSS score ( P = 0.014), age <70 years ( P = 0.043), transfusion‐independence at diagnosis ( P = 0.0056) and transfusion‐intensity of <2 RCU per month ( P = 0.009). Reflecting the time elapsed since diagnosis, longer survival was observed with a cumulative red cell load of ≥75 U ( P = 0.046). By logistic‐regression analysis, transfusion‐intensity independently predicted survival ( P = 0.0035) in low and intermediate‐1 risk MDS patients. Forty‐one patients fulfilled criteria for consideration of IC. Of these, 6 patients died within 1 month; 35 patients survived for a median of 16 months (range 1–61). Had patients commenced IC, the anticipated drug‐costs alone would have been ∼$526,880–$2,064,800 over 10 years. The lack of association between cumulative transfusion‐load and survival calls for a prospective evaluation of the cost‐utility of IC in patients surviving long‐term, to enable evidence‐based recommendations in MDS management. Am. J. Hematol.86:406–410, 2011. © 2011 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.