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Dynamic Rupture Modeling of the M 7.2 2010 El Mayor‐Cucapah Earthquake: Comparison With a Geodetic Model
Author(s) -
Kyriakopoulos C.,
Oglesby D. D.,
Funning G. J.,
Ryan Kenny J.
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
journal of geophysical research: solid earth
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.983
H-Index - 232
eISSN - 2169-9356
pISSN - 2169-9313
DOI - 10.1002/2017jb014294
Subject(s) - geodetic datum , geology , seismology , slip (aerodynamics) , geodesy , interferometric synthetic aperture radar , earthquake rupture , seismic hazard , homogeneous , residual , synthetic aperture radar , fault (geology) , computer science , algorithm , remote sensing , engineering , physics , aerospace engineering , thermodynamics
The 2010 M w 7.2 El Mayor‐Cucapah earthquake is the largest event recorded in the broader Southern California‐Baja California region in the last 18 years. Here we try to analyze primary features of this type of event by using dynamic rupture simulations based on a multifault interface and later compare our results with space geodetic models. Our results show that starting from homogeneous prestress conditions, slip heterogeneity can be achieved as a result of variable dip angle along strike and the modulation imposed by step over segments. We also considered effects from a topographic free surface and find that although this does not produce significant first‐order effects for this earthquake, even a low topographic dome such as the Cucapah range can affect the rupture front pattern and fault slip rate. Finally, we inverted available interferometric synthetic aperture radar data, using the same geometry as the dynamic rupture model, and retrieved the space geodetic slip distribution that serves to constrain the dynamic rupture models. The one to one comparison of the final fault slip pattern generated with dynamic rupture models and the space geodetic inversion show good agreement. Our results lead us to the following conclusion: in a possible multifault rupture scenario, and if we have first‐order geometry constraints, dynamic rupture models can be very efficient in predicting large‐scale slip heterogeneities that are important for the correct assessment of seismic hazard and the magnitude of future events. Our work contributes to understanding the complex nature of multifault systems.