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Improving the realism of hydrologic model functioning through multivariate parameter estimation
Author(s) -
Rakovec O.,
Kumar R.,
Attinger S.,
Samaniego L.
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
water resources research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.863
H-Index - 217
eISSN - 1944-7973
pISSN - 0043-1397
DOI - 10.1002/2016wr019430
Subject(s) - evapotranspiration , streamflow , environmental science , multivariate statistics , hydrological modelling , surface runoff , estimation theory , range (aeronautics) , precipitation , climatology , meteorology , statistics , drainage basin , mathematics , geology , ecology , materials science , physics , cartography , composite material , biology , geography
Increased availability and quality of near real‐time observations provide the opportunity to improve understanding of predictive skills of hydrologic models. Recent studies have shown the limited capability of river discharge data alone to adequately constrain different components of distributed model parameterizations. In this study, the GRACE satellite‐based total water storage (TWS) anomaly is used to complement the discharge data with the aim to improve the fidelity of mesoscale hydrologic model (mHM) through multivariate parameter estimation. The study is conducted on 83 European basins covering a wide range of hydroclimatic regimes. The model parameterization complemented with the TWS anomalies leads to statistically significant improvements in (1) discharge simulations during low‐flow period, and (2) evapotranspiration estimates which are evaluated against independent data (FLUXNET). Overall, there is no significant deterioration in model performance for the discharge simulations when complemented by information from the TWS anomalies. However, considerable changes in the partitioning of precipitation into runoff components are noticed by in‐/exclusion of TWS during the parameter estimation. Introducing monthly averaged TWS data only improves the dynamics of streamflow on monthly or longer time scales, which mostly addresses the dynamical behavior of the base flow reservoir. A cross‐evaluation test carried out to assess the transferability of the calibrated parameters to other locations further confirms the benefit of complementary TWS data. In particular, the evapotranspiration estimates show more robust performance when TWS data are incorporated during the parameter estimation, in comparison with the benchmark model constrained against discharge only. This study highlights the value for incorporating multiple data sources during parameter estimation to improve the overall realism of hydrologic models and their applications over large domains.

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