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Improving synoptic and intraseasonal variability in CFSv2 via stochastic representation of organized convection
Author(s) -
Goswami B. B.,
Khouider B.,
Phani R.,
Mukhopadhyay P.,
Majda A.
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1002/2016gl071542
Subject(s) - madden–julian oscillation , climatology , precipitation , climate forecast system , convection , environmental science , forcing (mathematics) , climate model , oscillation (cell signaling) , meteorology , atmospheric sciences , geology , climate change , physics , oceanography , biology , genetics
To better represent organized convection in the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2), a stochastic multicloud model (SMCM) parameterization is adopted and a 15 year climate run is made. The last 10 years of simulations are analyzed here. While retaining an equally good mean state (if not better) as the parent model, the CFS‐SMCM simulation shows significant improvement in the synoptic and intraseasonal variability. The CFS‐SMCM provides a better account of convectively coupled equatorial waves and the Madden‐Julian oscillation. The CFS‐SMCM exhibits improvements in northward and eastward propagation of intraseasonal oscillation of convection including the MJO propagation beyond the maritime continent barrier, which is the Achilles Heel for coarse‐resolution global climate models (GCMs). The distribution of precipitation events is better simulated in CFSsmcm and spreads naturally toward high‐precipitation events. Deterministic GCMs tend to simulate a narrow distribution with too much drizzling precipitation and too little high‐precipitation events.