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The relative contribution of orbital forcing and greenhouse gases to the North American deglaciation
Author(s) -
Gregoire Lauren J.,
Valdes Paul J.,
Payne Antony J.
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
geophysical research letters
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 2.007
H-Index - 273
eISSN - 1944-8007
pISSN - 0094-8276
DOI - 10.1002/2015gl066005
Subject(s) - deglaciation , orbital forcing , forcing (mathematics) , ice sheet , climatology , greenhouse gas , geology , northern hemisphere , atmosphere (unit) , atmospheric sciences , environmental science , oceanography , meteorology , physics , holocene , insolation
Understanding what drove Northern Hemisphere ice sheet melt during the last deglaciation (21–7 ka) can help constrain how sensitive contemporary ice sheets are to greenhouse gas (GHGs) changes. The roles of orbital forcing and GHGs in the deglaciation have previously been modeled but not yet quantified. Here for the first time we calculate the relative effect of these forcings on the North American deglaciation by driving a dynamical ice sheet model (GLIMMER‐CISM) with a set of unaccelerated transient deglacial simulations with a full primitive equation‐based ocean‐atmosphere general circulation model (FAMOUS). We find that by 9 ka, orbital forcing has caused 50% of the deglaciation, GHG 30%, and the interaction between the two 20%. Orbital forcing starts affecting the ice volume at 19 ka, 2000 years before CO 2 starts increasing in our experiments, a delay which partly controls their relative effect.