Variations in timing of lithospheric failure on terrestrial planets due to chaotic nature of mantle convection

We perform numerical simulations of lithospheric failure in the stagnant lid regime of temperature‐dependent viscosity convection, using the yield stress approach. We find that the time of failure can vary significantly for the same values of the controlling parameters due to the chaotic nature of the convective system. The general trend of the dependence of the time of lithospheric failure on the yield stress can be explained by treating lithospheric failure as a type of Rayleigh‐Taylor instability. This study suggests that it is important to address not only the question of whether plate tectonics can occur on a planet but also when it would occur if conditions are favorable.