Open AccessMedium‐Range Thermosphere‐Ionosphere Storm Forecasts
Author(s) -
Mannucci A. J.,
Verkhoglyadova O. P.,
Tsurutani B. T.,
Meng X.,
Pi X.,
Wang C.,
Rosen G.,
Lynch E.,
Sharma S.,
Ridley A.,
Manchester W.,
Van Der Holst B.,
Echer E.,
Hajra R.
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
space weather
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.254
H-Index - 56
ISSN - 1542-7390
DOI - 10.1002/2014sw001125
Subject(s) - thermosphere , space weather , coronal mass ejection , ionosphere , storm , geomagnetic storm , solar wind , meteorology , atmosphere (unit) , environmental science , atmospheric sciences , physics , geophysics , plasma , quantum mechanics
The development of quantitative models that describe physical processes from the solar corona to the Earth’s upper atmosphere creates the possibility of numerical space weather forecasting with a lead time of a few days [Merkin et al., 2007; Toth et al., 2007]. Developing such a capability for the thermosphere and ionosphere is the objective of an effort described here sponsored by the NASA/National Science Foundation (NSF) Partnership for Collaborative Space Weather Modeling [Schunk, 2014]. Despite significant scientific progress in Sun-to-Earth modeling over the last few years, there is currently no system in place that relies on the physics-based model development of the past 10 years, to forecast moderate to intense upper atmosphere storms caused by solar wind disturbances. Mannucci [2012] suggests that a physics-based approach to forecasting upper atmospheric space weather has scientific as well as practical benefits.