Open AccessNext‐Generation Severe Weather Forecasting and Communication
Author(s) -
Rothfusz Lans P.,
Karstens Christopher,
Hilderband Douglas
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1002/2014eo360001
Subject(s) - national weather service , weather prediction , severe weather , meteorology , flexibility (engineering) , weather forecasting , diversity (politics) , service (business) , vulnerability (computing) , environmental science , climatology , computer science , business , geography , computer security , political science , marketing , economics , management , storm , geology , law
Despite advances in the hazardous weather predictive skills of forecasters from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS) [ Simmons and Sutter, 2011], the underlying methodologies used to generate severe weather watches (i.e., announcements that the potential for severe weather exists) and warnings (i.e., announcements that severe weather conditions are occurring or imminent) have changed little since they were first issued in 1965. The resulting text‐based, deterministic (i.e., a single, most accurate value) messages lack the detail and flexibility to match the technology, science, diversity, lifestyles, and vulnerability of society today.