Open AccessDifferences in Sandy forecasts due to cumulus parameterization
Author(s) -
Wendel JoAnna
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1002/2014eo320015
Subject(s) - landfall , climatology , meteorology , environmental science , track (disk drive) , atlantic hurricane , tropical cyclone , range (aeronautics) , geography , geology , computer science , engineering , aerospace engineering , operating system
One reason for Hurricane Sandy's noteworthy impact was a discrepancy in its forecasting. Scientists knew of the hurricane days before it made landfall, but two different models consistently made two different predictions for its track. One week in advance of the actual landfall, the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) predicted that the hurricane would eventually make landfall, while the Global Forecast System (GFS) forecast that the hurricane would travel toward the central north Atlantic. A sudden turn to the left—a move scientists say would only be expected every 714 years—caused Sandy to hit land.