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Predicting rehospitalization at a community mental health center: A „double‐crossed”︁ validation
Author(s) -
Miller David J.,
Beck Niels C.,
Fraps Carolyn
Publication year - 1984
Publication title -
journal of clinical psychology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.124
H-Index - 119
eISSN - 1097-4679
pISSN - 0021-9762
DOI - 10.1002/1097-4679(198401)40:1<35::aid-jclp2270400106>3.0.co;2-8
Subject(s) - recidivism , substance abuse , psychology , mental health , schizophrenia (object oriented programming) , medical diagnosis , psychiatry , structural equation modeling , predictive validity , clinical psychology , regression analysis , medicine , statistics , mathematics , pathology
Used a multiple regression equation that contained a variety of demographic and diagnostic measures as predictor variables to predict 5‐year recidivism in a group of 100 psychiatric inpatients hospitalized at a community mental health center. This equation then was cross‐validated via the prediction of recidivism in a second group of 100 inpatients. A predictive equation derived from an analysis of this second group of patients then was used in a ‘doublecrossed’ validation back to the first group. Diagnoses that involved schizophrenia and drug abuse, major psychotropic drug regimens, and a failure to appear for follow‐up therapy as an outpatient emerged consistently as predictor variables.

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