Premium
Prediction of summer central England temperature from preceding North Atlantic winter sea surface temperature
Author(s) -
Colman Andrew
Publication year - 1997
Publication title -
international journal of climatology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.58
H-Index - 166
eISSN - 1097-0088
pISSN - 0899-8418
DOI - 10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(199710)17:12<1285::aid-joc198>3.0.co;2-9
Subject(s) - climatology , sea surface temperature , anomaly (physics) , new england , environmental science , north sea , geology , oceanography , physics , politics , political science , law , condensed matter physics
A potentially useful predictive relationship has been found between the North Atlantic sea‐surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) pattern in winter and the subsequent summer (July–August) central England temperature (CET) in England. This relationship can be seen in timewise correlation maps between CET and gridded SSTA. The SSTA pattern which correlates well with CET can be represented by an eigenvector. A regression equation was then established to predict subsequent summer CET from the strength of the eigenvector, which produced correlation skill of about 0·5 at a lead time of 4 months. © Controller, Her Majestery's Stationery Office, England 1997. Int. J. Climatol. , 17: 1285–1300 (1997) (No. of Figures: 12. No. of Tables: 4. No. of References: 31)