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Estimation of Constrained Factor Models for High‐Dimensional Time Series
Author(s) -
Liu Yitian,
Pan Jiazhu,
Xia Qiang
Publication year - 2025
Publication title -
journal of forecasting
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.543
H-Index - 59
eISSN - 1099-131X
pISSN - 0277-6693
DOI - 10.1002/for.3249
Subject(s) - autocovariance , estimator , series (stratigraphy) , mathematics , rate of convergence , monte carlo method , convergence (economics) , factor analysis , matrix (chemical analysis) , computer science , mathematical optimization , statistics , paleontology , economics , mathematical analysis , channel (broadcasting) , computer network , materials science , fourier transform , composite material , biology , economic growth
ABSTRACT This article studies the estimation of the constrained factor models for high‐dimensional time series. The approach is based on the eigenanalysis of a nonnegative definite matrix constructed from the autocovariance matrices. The convergence rate of the estimator for loading matrix and the asymptotic normality of the estimated factor score are explored under regularity conditions set for the proposed model. Our estimation for the constrained factor models can achieve the optimal rate of convergence even in the case of weak factors. The finite sample performance of our approach is examined and compared with the existing methods by Monte Carlo simulations. Our methodology is illustrated and supported by a real data example.
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