Time-Frequency Coherence and Forecast Analysis of Selected Stock Returns in Ghan Using Haar Wavelet
Author(s) -
Rhydal Esi Eghan,
Peter Amoako-Yirenkyi,
Akoto Yaw Omari-Sasu,
Nana Kena Frimpong
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of advances in mathematics and computer science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2456-9968
DOI - 10.9734/jamcs/2019/46323
Subject(s) - wavelet , stock (firearms) , coherence (philosophical gambling strategy) , haar , econometrics , wavelet transform , mathematics , statistics , computer science , geography , artificial intelligence , archaeology
Aims/ objectives: The study seeks to analyze the correlation of some selected stock returns with respect to both time and frequency domain, and also to forecast returns using Wavelet Coherence and Wavelet-ARIMA model as alternative to Pearson correlation and ARIMA model respectively. Study Design: Financial Mathematics. Place and Duration of Study: August 2016 to July 2017 , Department of Mathematics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology. Methodology: We transform data using the Haar Wavelet as the basis function. Results: Results revealed interesting dynamics of correlations altering in time and across frequencies continually between paired returns. Furthermore, Wavelet-Arima method was found to be more appropriate for forecast with minimal error measure of forecast values. Conclusion: Given the heterogeneous trading behavior in stock markets, investors operate at different frequencies for their trade and investment preferences. Thus, apart from the time domain, there is a frequency domain, which represents various investment horizons. *Corresponding author: E-mail: reghan3@st.knust.edu.gh Eghan et al.; JAMCS, 30(5): 1-12, 2019; Article no.JAMCS.46323
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