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Background  The medicinal plants of  Radix et Rhizoma Nardostachyos  include  Nardostachys jatamansi  and  N. chinensis . Traditionally, the two plants have been used to treat many diseases. Because of their special aroma, they are also commonly used in the food and cosmetics industry. Recently,  N. jatamansi  and  N. chinensis  have been overexploited due to their economic importance, resulting in a sharp decline in their wild resources. Predicting potential distributions of the genus  Nardostachys  under different climate scenarios and understanding its preferred habitat are of great significance for their conservation, artificial cultivation, and assessment of their value.    Methods  The Maxent model was used to predict the potential geographical distributions of the genus  Nardostachys  under current and future climatic conditions based on two representative concentration pathways (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) for the 2050s and 2070s. These data were used to study the effects of climate variables.    Results  The results show that the potential distribution of the two species will increase, thus more suitable habitats will be present in China. The suitable habitat for  N. chinensis  presents a relatively stable growth compared to  N. jatamansi . In addition, precipitation plays a crucial role in modeling the effects of climate change on the genus  Nardostachys . This study provides theoretical guidance for the cultivation of  N. chinensis .

Simulating the effects of climate change across the geographical distribution of two medicinal plants in the genus Nardostachys