Modelling and Forecasting Volatility on Electric Power Exchange SEEPEX
Author(s) -
Ivica Terzić,
Zoran Jeremić,
Tatjana Latas
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
management journal of sustainable business and management solutions in emerging economies
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2406-0658
pISSN - 1820-0222
DOI - 10.7595/management.fon.2021.0002
Subject(s) - volatility (finance) , economics , autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity , econometrics , electricity market , financial economics , electricity , engineering , electrical engineering
SEEPEX a.d. Beograd is a licensed operator in an organised electricity market launched early in 2016. Clearly, SEEPEX is a very young power exchange in the early stages of development, making the time series required for an analysis of trade and overall market performance rather short. The authors studied trade data available between the birth of SEEPEX and the end of 2019, which is a long enough period to draw conclusions as to the possibility of predicting volatility and the price of power traded on SEEPEX in the observed period.
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