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Operational Mechanism and Evaluation System for Emergency Logistics Risks
Author(s) -
Qi Cheng,
Yu Lei
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
international journal of intelligent systems and applications
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2074-9058
pISSN - 2074-904X
DOI - 10.5815/ijisa.2010.02.04
Subject(s) - computer science , delphi method , index (typography) , risk analysis (engineering) , delphi , operations research , mechanism (biology) , fuzzy logic , natural disaster , business , artificial intelligence , engineering , philosophy , epistemology , physics , world wide web , meteorology , operating system
Lots of risks existed in the operating process of emergency logistics especially when natural disasters happened. Both operating mechanism and evaluation system research on Emergency Logistics Risks (ELR) are the basis of effective recognizing, preventing and responding to risks, so it’s of great theoretical and practical significance to study the formation and influence mechanism and to establish an evaluating index system for ELR. Firstly, some foundation research about ELR was carried out, including definition, characteristics and classification of ELR. The formation and influence mechanism of ELR were discussed. The research of questionnaire survey offered an objective support for theoretical mechanism and index system establishment. Then, the evaluating index system for ELR was established. This system was a multi-level index system, and mainly evaluated by the decision-making risk, dispatching and commanding risk, organizing and coordinating risk, executing and controlling risk, resources supporting risk and their sub index. The establishment principles and significance of the index system were discussed. Then, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and Delphi method were used to confirm the index weight and value. Finally, a case analysis on ELR of Yushu earthquake was conducted to demonstrate the evaluating index system and to evaluate the actual risk level.

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