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Survival and mortality in even-aged seedling-sapling northern hardwoods are described as an exponential process, where the probability of a tree — alive at mean stand diameter [Formula: see text] and living to mean stand diameter [Formula: see text] or beyond — is:[Formula: see text][Formula: see text]Values of R were estimated from field data. The average number of trees at [Formula: see text] required to produce 1 tree at [Formula: see text] equals 1/P. By using the binomial distribution, the author determined the number of trees at [Formula: see text] required to produce with high probability 1 tree or more at [Formula: see text]. Regeneration stocking guides, based on this mathematical process, are presented.

Stocking of Northern Hardwood Regeneration Based on Exponential Dropout Rate