Optimal Storage, Investment and Management under Uncertainty: It is Costly to Avoid Outages!
Author(s) -
Joachim Geske,
Richard Green
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
the energy journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.244
H-Index - 77
eISSN - 1944-9089
pISSN - 0195-6574
DOI - 10.5547/01956574.41.2.jges
Subject(s) - arbitrage , energy storage , investment (military) , electricity , storage model , renewable energy , stochastic programming , pumped storage hydroelectricity , computer science , mathematical optimization , economics , distributed generation , engineering , mathematics , power (physics) , physics , electrical engineering , quantum mechanics , politics , political science , law , operating system , financial economics
Subject of this analysis is to show how storage is operated optimally under renewable and load uncertainty in the electricity system context. We estimate a homogeneous Markov Chain representation of the residual load in Germany in 2014 on an hourly basis and design a very simple dynamic stochastic electricity system model with non-intermittent generation technologies and storage. We compare these results to perfect foresight findings and identify a significant over estimation of the storage potential under perfect foresight. Keywords—storage, electricity system, uncertainty Categories—electricity and nuclear, energy security, energy modelling, energy economics
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