Structural Credit Modeling Under Stochastic Volatility
Author(s) -
Marcos Escobar,
Tim Friederich,
Mikhail Krayzler,
Luis Seco,
Rudi Zagst
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
international journal of statistics and probability
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1927-7040
pISSN - 1927-7032
DOI - 10.5539/ijsp.v1n1p20
Subject(s) - stochastic volatility , heston model , estimator , econometrics , volatility (finance) , constant elasticity of variance model , implied volatility , economics , computer science , mathematics , sabr volatility model , statistics
This paper presents a structural credit model with underlying stochastic volatility, a CIR process, combining the Black/Cox framework with the Heston Model. We allow to calibrate a Heston Model for a non-observable process as underlying of the Black/Cox Model. A closed-form solution for the price of a down-and-out call option on the assets with the debt as barrier and strike price is derived using the concept of optional sampling. Furthermore, estimators are derived with the Method of Moments for Hidden Markov Chains. As an application in Statistical Finance, the default probabilities of Merrill Lynch during the financial crisis are examined
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