Análise de estratégias de hedge simultâneo para a produção de soja no Centro-Oeste
Author(s) -
Waldemar Antônio da Rocha de Souza,
João Gomes Martines-Filho,
Pedro Valentim Marques
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
revista de economia
Language(s) - Portuguese
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2316-9397
pISSN - 0556-5782
DOI - 10.5380/re.v38i2.29903
Subject(s) - futures contract , hedge , price risk , exchange rate , basis risk , economics , monetary economics , financial economics , biology , botany , capital asset pricing model
Objetivou-se avaliar o hedge simultâneo para a producao de soja do Centro-Oeste com contratos futuros de preco e taxa de câmbio da BOVESPA/BM&F, usando um modelo de hedge simultâneo do risco de precos e taxa de câmbio. Calcularam-se as eficiencias de diferentes estrategias de hedge . As principais conclusoes foram que o hedge simultâneo de risco de precos e taxa de câmbio reduz de forma acentuada o risco da receita total comparativamente ao hedge de precos isolado. A mitigacao do risco de taxa de câmbio em conjunto com o de precos e fundamental para uma gestao estrategica dos exportadores de commodities . Abstract: The aim was to evaluate the simultaneous hedge for the Western Central soybean production with BM&F/BOVESPA price and exchange rate futures using a model of simultaneous price and exchange rate risk hedge. We calculated the efficiencies of different hedging strategies. The main conclusions were that simultaneously hedging price and exchange rate risk sharply reduces the total revenue risk compared to price hedge alone. The joint risk mitigation of the exchange rate together with price risk is key to strategic management for commodity exporters.
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