Scenarios of climate and land-use change,water demand and water availability for the São Francisco River basin | Zendy

Hagen Koch | Zendy; Anne Biewald | Zendy; Stefan Liersch | Zendy; José Roberto Gonçalves de Azevedo | Zendy; Gerald Norbert Souza da Silva | Zendy; Karolin Kölling | Zendy; Peter Fischer | Zendy; Robert Koch | Zendy; Fred F. Hattermann | Zendy

AI Assistant Blog Pricing

Home ZAIA Blog

Open Access

Scenarios of climate and land-use change,water demand and water availability for the São Francisco River basin

Author(s) -

Hagen Koch,

Anne Biewald,

Stefan Liersch,

José Roberto Gonçalves de Azevedo,

Gerald Norbert Souza da Silva,

Karolin Kölling,

Peter Fischer,

Robert Koch,

Fred F. Hattermann

Publication year - 2015

Publication title -

revista brasileira de ciências ambientais

Language(s) - English

Resource type - Journals

eISSN - 2176-9478

pISSN - 1808-4524

DOI - 10.5327/z2176-947820151007

Subject(s) - hydropower , agriculture , climate change , population growth , sustainability , population , environmental science , water resource management , gross domestic product , water use , land use , water resources , geography , natural resource economics , economics , ecology , economic growth , biology , demography , archaeology , sociology

RBCIAMB | n.36 | jun 2015 | 96-114 ABSTRACT In this study, scenarios of changes in land-use patterns, agricultural production and climate, and their effects on water demand and availability in the São Francisco river basin (Brazil) are analysed. The global driver population growth, economic development, and trade liberalization are included. Using the regionalized version of a global agro-economic landand water use model, impacts are analysed for two scenarios: a regionalized world with slow economic development, high population growth, and little awareness of environmental problems (A2), and a globalized world with low population growth, high gross domestic product (GDP) growth, and environmental sustainability (B1). A regional ecohydrological model is used to analyse the effect of these scenarios on water demand and availability. The climate scenarios in general show a wetter future (years 2021 – 2050), with wetter rainy seasons and drier dry seasons. The water availability for irrigated agriculture is high, while hydropower generation is declining by 3.2% (A2) and 1.7% (B1) compared to the reference.

The content you want is available to Zendy users.

Already have an account? Click here to sign in.

Having issues? You can contact us here

Accelerating Research