Forecasting Measles in the European Union Using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

BACKGROUND/AIMS Measles is one of the diseases that cause child mortality. The measles forecasting is essential in planning the fight against the disease and reducing the risk of the vaccine stocks expiration. Governments and health institutions estimate the measles vaccine requirements using certain equations, which are generally based on the size of the target population and the past consumption records. There are several studies that have examined the measles forecasting and conducted a vaccine requirement assessment.